Looking towards the 2020 elections, I question some of the basic tactics that seem to be unfolding. In the writing, with quotes of Arlie Hochschild, that I compiled, the picture of core Trump supporters (Tea Party = Trump largely) is troubling to me. While they share s[m1] ome common characteristics, they also have some diversity that goes beyond some of the stereotyped images we often see them as having.
Most importantly to me the core seems to me to be totally unreachable. To do substantive things that would gain support from some of them would decimate those of us not on the right.
While it is certainly possible that Trump’s actions will cause self-destruction, and defeat in the upcoming election, we shouldn’t presume this at all.
It should be noted that Republican support for Trump recently went up 5% after his very racist statements. It should also be noted that in recent presidential elections Republican candidates get roughly 16% more white votes than their Democratic Party opponents.
Democrats tend to win elections when the turnout for people-of-color is high and lose when it is not high. One might think that repeated racist statements might bring out high voter turnout at least for black voters.
I believe that it is dangerous to rely upon Black and Latino voters alone, to win the election. While there is a significant gender gap, white women still are close to 51% in support of Trump.
I see two divergent paths for Democratic voices in the coming months. One path is fighting hard against Trump and focusing on how crazy his statements are. The other approach is focusing significantly upon issues dividing Republicans and Democrats and emphasizing the changes that a Democratic Party administration would bring.
While we should certainly not ignore racist statements and similar, I see dangers in focusing primarily in such areas. It will help keep Trump dominating the news. It also may turn off a lot of women, who might not vote for Trump. If they repeatedly get the impression that Democrats are vociferous and “loud”, they may choose to not vote in the 2020 election. A lesser number of men may be similar.
It seems important to me that we need to not fall into the trap that Trump is trying to pull over us. Repeatedly ridiculing him will play well to the Democratic Party base. It will not, however, be effective in connecting with the “undecideds” and those who are weak supporters of the Democratic Party. Resignation and apathy among too many white women may hurt us badly in 2020.
Popular posts from this blog
A Primer for Today and Tomorrow It is most important that we do all that we can to help depolarize the divide and actively confront the serious threats that we face. INTRODUCTION My world is both very complex, and really simple underneath its layers. I see: powerful elites (primarily wealthy, white, Christian, heterosexual men) using racism, sexism, classism, and homo/lesbian/trans phobias systemically to manipulate and control most other people. an immediate critically important clash between two strongly opposed world views. a serious danger of a right-wing takeover of power which could easily happen as soon as this year. It is not crazy at all (for me) to fear a Fascist State where: My wife being Black could be in danger because she is Black and not invisible, My Black, gender-fluid step-child — could become another “statistic” — in a world where their life expectancy already is only 36, Me being Jewish,
“I’m here to discuss YOUR White Male Privilege …!” White boy – Get Off your A$$ !! Goodbye Toxicity – Let’s Join the Others, Already Working Towards Necessary, Systemic Change I N T R O D U C T I O N This writing focuses upon cis-gendered, upper-middle class white men in the United States (USians) who want real systemic equality . The United States needs (positive) radical systemic change. We recognize the “Joe Bidens” as our leaders. Behind the scenes, the real work has been, and continues to be, done by the others who are not powerful, wealthy white men. Black women (basically) elected Joe Biden. Black women did most of the significant (basic, core) work that resulted in the passage of the Civil Rights laws of the 1960’s. White liberal and radical upper-middle class/wealthy men wield a lot of potential power, far more than others (besides other similarly well-off white men). We, cis-gendered white men frequently “rest on our l
Cristal R Nell JULY 7, 1978 – JULY 24, 2020 RIP Cristal Nell by Joshua Donn July 25 This is the most gut wrenching thing I have ever had to write. Yesterday morning, Cristal Nell died at her home in Seattle, WA. She had just turned 42 years old and leaves behind a 13 year old son and 10 year old daughter, who are currently with their father. This was completely unexpected and is a huge shock to everyone. First, bridge. She was a very talented and intuitive player. I met her at the table in 2011 when she did something rather brilliant against me, and I knew I had to get to know this person. She was an NABC champion, winning the Rockwell Mixed Pairs in 2017 partnering Igor Savchenko. I had some occasions to play with her in regional pair games and she was solid as a rock. Cristal was extremely enthusiastic about bridge, attending almost every NABC and occasional USBF trial events as well. But more importantly, here are some personal details. She was a devote